Monday, December 20, 2010

Successful prediction: rain before Xmas

Longrange forecaster Ken Ring, author of the Predict Weather Almanacs, as far back as two years ago said that rain would bring relief to dry North Island areas before this Xmas. Refs can be found in print

and on radio on which Georgina Griffiths of NIWA (7 December) predicted “no rain before Xmas”, and on 30 November, Ring said “a lot of rain between 10th -16th”, “yes, a drought-breaker, 4 or 5 days of it, something to plan for.”

Ring says it will not prevent further dry conditions expected for late January and February affecting Northland, Waikato and Bay of Plenty until final relief in May. The remnants of cyclonic events in the Pacific may also bring some alleviation in the third weeks of each of the summer months, he says, and warns that extreme weather from the remnants of these cyclones from the second week of January may affect holidaymakers.

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